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     data   graph     files  public [Observed and modeled presence 1968-2014] - Trawl survey data and species distribution model
predictions for presence, absence and abundance (Adaptations of fish and fishing communities
to rapid climate change)
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The Dataset's Variables and Attributes

Row Type Variable Name Attribute Name Data Type Value
attribute NC_GLOBAL access_formats String .htmlTable,.csv,.json,.mat,.nc,.tsv,.esriCsv,.geoJson
attribute NC_GLOBAL acquisition_description String NMFS Trawl Survey data was used to fit species distribution models and the
resulting modeled predictions for presence/absence and abundance.

We analyzed the influence of environmental characteristics on the spatial
distribution of our eight focal species using data collected by the Northeast
Fisheries Science Center (NEFSC) spring (March-May), and fall (September-
November) bottom trawl surveys along the Northeast US Shelf (65-75\u00b0W
longitude, and 35-45\u00b0N latitude) for the period 1968-2014. Sea surface
temperature, sea bottom temperature, and depth were sampled concurrently with
trawl samples. We used sediment grain size as a measure of substrate type
using existing data layers from the Nature Conservancy. Surveys were trimmed
to strata that were sampled in at least 43 of the 46 years. Data from the fall
and spring surveys 1968-2014 were combined in order to fit species
distribution models (SDMs) using a generalized additive model (GAM) fit
separately for each species. Presence or absence of species x in haul location
i in year y was modeled using a logistic model with a binomial error
distribution and a logit link function. The probability of species occurrence
in each haul was modeled as an additive function of the five environmental
variables and regional species biomass: haul-specific observations of sea
surface temperature, sea bottom temperature, depth, sediment grain size, and
average region-wide biomass (kg/tow) of species x in year y in the season in
which the haul was conducted. Penalized regression splines were fitted using
the \u201cgam\u201d function in the mgcv package in R.

In addition to examining changes in overall range size, we also predicted
historical and projected biomass using a delta-lognormal GAM that combines the
predictions of the presence/absence model with that for biomass when present.

Range size and species overlap wer calculated using the R-file
species_overlap_BCO.R available in the "Supplemental Documents" section on
this page.
attribute NC_GLOBAL awards_0_award_nid String 559955
attribute NC_GLOBAL awards_0_award_number String OCE-1426891
attribute NC_GLOBAL awards_0_data_url String http://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward.do?AwardNumber=1426891 (external link)
attribute NC_GLOBAL awards_0_funder_name String NSF Division of Ocean Sciences
attribute NC_GLOBAL awards_0_funding_acronym String NSF OCE
attribute NC_GLOBAL awards_0_funding_source_nid String 355
attribute NC_GLOBAL awards_0_program_manager String Michael E. Sieracki
attribute NC_GLOBAL awards_0_program_manager_nid String 50446
attribute NC_GLOBAL cdm_data_type String Other
attribute NC_GLOBAL comment String Observed and modeled presence 1968-2014
PI: Malin Pinsky
data version 1: 2019-03-05
attribute NC_GLOBAL Conventions String COARDS, CF-1.6, ACDD-1.3
attribute NC_GLOBAL creator_email String info at bco-dmo.org
attribute NC_GLOBAL creator_name String BCO-DMO
attribute NC_GLOBAL creator_type String institution
attribute NC_GLOBAL creator_url String https://www.bco-dmo.org/ (external link)
attribute NC_GLOBAL data_source String extract_data_as_tsv version 2.3 19 Dec 2019
attribute NC_GLOBAL date_created String 2019-01-17T17:11:25Z
attribute NC_GLOBAL date_modified String 2019-11-08T18:56:21Z
attribute NC_GLOBAL defaultDataQuery String &time<now
attribute NC_GLOBAL doi String 10.1575/1912/bco-dmo.753142.1
attribute NC_GLOBAL Easternmost_Easting double -65.75
attribute NC_GLOBAL geospatial_lat_max double 44.5
attribute NC_GLOBAL geospatial_lat_min double 35.25
attribute NC_GLOBAL geospatial_lat_units String degrees_north
attribute NC_GLOBAL geospatial_lon_max double -65.75
attribute NC_GLOBAL geospatial_lon_min double -75.75
attribute NC_GLOBAL geospatial_lon_units String degrees_east
attribute NC_GLOBAL geospatial_vertical_max double 485.0
attribute NC_GLOBAL geospatial_vertical_min double 13.0
attribute NC_GLOBAL geospatial_vertical_positive String down
attribute NC_GLOBAL geospatial_vertical_units String m
attribute NC_GLOBAL infoUrl String https://www.bco-dmo.org/dataset/753142 (external link)
attribute NC_GLOBAL institution String BCO-DMO
attribute NC_GLOBAL keywords String bco, bco-dmo, biological, btemp, chemical, data, dataset, depth, dmo, erddap, grain, haulid, latitude, longitude, lwr, management, mean, mean_wtcpue, oceanography, office, preds, preds1, preds1_lwr, preds1_upr, preliminary, pres2, sed, sed_grain, spp, stemp, upr, wtcpue, year
attribute NC_GLOBAL license String https://www.bco-dmo.org/dataset/753142/license (external link)
attribute NC_GLOBAL metadata_source String https://www.bco-dmo.org/api/dataset/753142 (external link)
attribute NC_GLOBAL Northernmost_Northing double 44.5
attribute NC_GLOBAL param_mapping String {'753142': {'depth': 'flag - depth', 'lat_25': 'flag - latitude', 'lon_25': 'flag - longitude'}}
attribute NC_GLOBAL parameter_source String https://www.bco-dmo.org/mapserver/dataset/753142/parameters (external link)
attribute NC_GLOBAL people_0_affiliation String Rutgers University
attribute NC_GLOBAL people_0_person_name String Malin Pinsky
attribute NC_GLOBAL people_0_person_nid String 554708
attribute NC_GLOBAL people_0_role String Principal Investigator
attribute NC_GLOBAL people_0_role_type String originator
attribute NC_GLOBAL people_1_affiliation String Rutgers University
attribute NC_GLOBAL people_1_person_name String Rebecca Selden
attribute NC_GLOBAL people_1_person_nid String 753186
attribute NC_GLOBAL people_1_role String Contact
attribute NC_GLOBAL people_1_role_type String related
attribute NC_GLOBAL people_2_affiliation String Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
attribute NC_GLOBAL people_2_affiliation_acronym String WHOI BCO-DMO
attribute NC_GLOBAL people_2_person_name String Amber York
attribute NC_GLOBAL people_2_person_nid String 643627
attribute NC_GLOBAL people_2_role String BCO-DMO Data Manager
attribute NC_GLOBAL people_2_role_type String related
attribute NC_GLOBAL project String CC Fishery Adaptations
attribute NC_GLOBAL projects_0_acronym String CC Fishery Adaptations
attribute NC_GLOBAL projects_0_description String Description from NSF award abstract:
Climate change presents a profound challenge to the sustainability of coastal systems. Most research has overlooked the important coupling between human responses to climate effects and the cumulative impacts of these responses on ecosystems. Fisheries are a prime example of this feedback: climate changes cause shifts in species distributions and abundances, and fisheries adapt to these shifts. However, changes in the location and intensity of fishing also have major ecosystem impacts. This project's goal is to understand how climate and fishing interact to affect the long-term sustainability of marine populations and the ecosystem services they support. In addition, the project will explore how to design fisheries management and other institutions that are robust to climate-driven shifts in species distributions. The project focuses on fisheries for summer flounder and hake on the northeast U.S. continental shelf, which target some of the most rapidly shifting species in North America. By focusing on factors affecting the adaptation of fish, fisheries, fishing communities, and management institutions to the impacts of climate change, this project will have direct application to coastal sustainability. The project involves close collaboration with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, and researchers will conduct regular presentations for and maintain frequent dialogue with the Mid-Atlantic and New England Fisheries Management Councils in charge of the summer flounder and hake fisheries. To enhance undergraduate education, project participants will design a new online laboratory investigation to explore the impacts of climate change on fisheries, complete with visualization tools that allow students to explore inquiry-driven problems and that highlight the benefits of teaching with authentic data. This project is supported as part of the National Science Foundation's Coastal Science, Engineering, and Education for Sustainability program - Coastal SEES.
The project will address three questions:
1) How do the interacting impacts of fishing and climate change affect the persistence, abundance, and distribution of marine fishes?
2) How do fishers and fishing communities adapt to species range shifts and related changes in abundance? and
3) Which institutions create incentives that sustain or maximize the value of natural capital and comprehensive social wealth in the face of rapid climate change?
An interdisciplinary team of scientists will use dynamic range and statistical models with four decades of geo-referenced data on fisheries catch and fish biogeography to determine how fish populations are affected by the cumulative impacts of fishing, climate, and changing species interactions. The group will then use comprehensive information on changes in fisher behavior to understand how fishers respond to changes in species distribution and abundance. Interviews will explore the social, regulatory, and economic factors that shape these strategies. Finally, a bioeconomic model for summer flounder and hake fisheries will examine how spatial distribution of regulatory authority, social feedbacks within human communities, and uncertainty affect society's ability to maintain natural and social capital.
attribute NC_GLOBAL projects_0_end_date String 2018-08
attribute NC_GLOBAL projects_0_geolocation String Northeast US Continental Shelf Large Marine Ecosystem
attribute NC_GLOBAL projects_0_name String Adaptations of fish and fishing communities to rapid climate change
attribute NC_GLOBAL projects_0_project_nid String 559948
attribute NC_GLOBAL projects_0_start_date String 2014-09
attribute NC_GLOBAL publisher_name String Biological and Chemical Oceanographic Data Management Office (BCO-DMO)
attribute NC_GLOBAL publisher_type String institution
attribute NC_GLOBAL sourceUrl String (local files)
attribute NC_GLOBAL Southernmost_Northing double 35.25
attribute NC_GLOBAL standard_name_vocabulary String CF Standard Name Table v55
attribute NC_GLOBAL summary String NMFS Trawl Survey data used to fit species distribution models and the resulting modeled predictions for presence/absence and abundance.
attribute NC_GLOBAL title String [Observed and modeled presence 1968-2014] - Trawl survey data and species distribution model predictions for presence, absence and abundance (Adaptations of fish and fishing communities to rapid climate change)
attribute NC_GLOBAL version String 1
attribute NC_GLOBAL Westernmost_Easting double -75.75
attribute NC_GLOBAL xml_source String osprey2erddap.update_xml() v1.3
variable spp   String  
attribute spp bcodmo_name String species
attribute spp description String species scientific name
attribute spp long_name String SPP
attribute spp units String unitless
variable haulid   String  
attribute haulid bcodmo_name String haul identification
attribute haulid description String trawl haulid created from CRUISE6 (196803), STATION with max of 3 digits (8), and STRATUM (1010) from NEFSC survey data
attribute haulid long_name String Haulid
attribute haulid units String unitless
variable latitude   double  
attribute latitude _CoordinateAxisType String Lat
attribute latitude _FillValue double NaN
attribute latitude actual_range double 35.25, 44.5
attribute latitude axis String Y
attribute latitude bcodmo_name String latitude
attribute latitude colorBarMaximum double 90.0
attribute latitude colorBarMinimum double -90.0
attribute latitude description String latitude
attribute latitude ioos_category String Location
attribute latitude long_name String Latitude
attribute latitude nerc_identifier String https://vocab.nerc.ac.uk/collection/P09/current/LATX/ (external link)
attribute latitude source_name String lat_25
attribute latitude standard_name String latitude
attribute latitude units String degrees_north
variable longitude   double  
attribute longitude _CoordinateAxisType String Lon
attribute longitude _FillValue double NaN
attribute longitude actual_range double -75.75, -65.75
attribute longitude axis String X
attribute longitude bcodmo_name String longitude
attribute longitude colorBarMaximum double 180.0
attribute longitude colorBarMinimum double -180.0
attribute longitude description String longitude
attribute longitude ioos_category String Location
attribute longitude long_name String Longitude
attribute longitude nerc_identifier String https://vocab.nerc.ac.uk/collection/P09/current/LONX/ (external link)
attribute longitude source_name String lon_25
attribute longitude standard_name String longitude
attribute longitude units String degrees_east
variable btemp   float  
attribute btemp _FillValue float NaN
attribute btemp actual_range float 0.0, 20.7
attribute btemp bcodmo_name String temperature
attribute btemp description String in situ bottom temperature from trawl
attribute btemp long_name String Btemp
attribute btemp nerc_identifier String https://vocab.nerc.ac.uk/collection/P01/current/TEMPP901/ (external link)
attribute btemp units String degrees Celsius
variable stemp   float  
attribute stemp _FillValue float NaN
attribute stemp actual_range float 0.0, 20.7
attribute stemp bcodmo_name String temperature
attribute stemp description String in situ surface temperature from trawl
attribute stemp long_name String Stemp
attribute stemp nerc_identifier String https://vocab.nerc.ac.uk/collection/P01/current/TEMPP901/ (external link)
attribute stemp units String degrees Celsius
variable depth   double  
attribute depth _CoordinateAxisType String Height
attribute depth _CoordinateZisPositive String down
attribute depth _FillValue double NaN
attribute depth actual_range double 13.0, 485.0
attribute depth axis String Z
attribute depth bcodmo_name String depth
attribute depth colorBarMaximum double 8000.0
attribute depth colorBarMinimum double -8000.0
attribute depth colorBarPalette String TopographyDepth
attribute depth description String trawl depth
attribute depth ioos_category String Location
attribute depth long_name String Depth
attribute depth nerc_identifier String https://vocab.nerc.ac.uk/collection/P09/current/DEPH/ (external link)
attribute depth positive String down
attribute depth standard_name String depth
attribute depth units String m
variable sed_grain   float  
attribute sed_grain _FillValue float NaN
attribute sed_grain actual_range float 0.0, 255.0
attribute sed_grain bcodmo_name String sediment grain size
attribute sed_grain description String relative sediment grain size, a proxy for habitat type
attribute sed_grain long_name String Sed Grain
attribute sed_grain units String unitless
variable mean_wtcpue   float  
attribute mean_wtcpue _FillValue float NaN
attribute mean_wtcpue actual_range float 0.0, 153.459
attribute mean_wtcpue bcodmo_name String biomass
attribute mean_wtcpue description String annual mean biomass (kg) per tow for the species for all hauls in region
attribute mean_wtcpue long_name String Mean Wtcpue
attribute mean_wtcpue units String kilograms per tow (kg/tow)
variable wtcpue   double  
attribute wtcpue _FillValue double NaN
attribute wtcpue actual_range double 0.0, 14519.493
attribute wtcpue bcodmo_name String biomass
attribute wtcpue description String biomass per tow in given haul
attribute wtcpue long_name String Wtcpue
attribute wtcpue units String kilograms per tow (kg/tow)
variable preds1   float  
attribute preds1 _FillValue float NaN
attribute preds1 actual_range float 0.0, 0.989
attribute preds1 bcodmo_name String unknown
attribute preds1 description String predicted probability of occurrence (0-1)
attribute preds1 long_name String Preds1
attribute preds1 units String dimensionless
variable preds1_upr   float  
attribute preds1_upr _FillValue float NaN
attribute preds1_upr actual_range float 0.0, 0.993
attribute preds1_upr bcodmo_name String unknown
attribute preds1_upr description String upper bound of predicted probability of occurrence (fit + 2SE)
attribute preds1_upr long_name String Preds1 Upr
attribute preds1_upr units String dimensionless
variable preds1_lwr   float  
attribute preds1_lwr _FillValue float NaN
attribute preds1_lwr actual_range float 0.0, 0.983
attribute preds1_lwr bcodmo_name String unknown
attribute preds1_lwr description String lower bound of predicted probability of occurrence (fit - 2SE)
attribute preds1_lwr long_name String Preds1 Lwr
attribute preds1_lwr units String dimensionless
variable preds   float  
attribute preds _FillValue float NaN
attribute preds actual_range float 0.0, 757.69
attribute preds bcodmo_name String biomass
attribute preds description String predicted biomass
attribute preds long_name String Preds
attribute preds units String kilograms (kg)
variable year   short  
attribute year _FillValue short 32767
attribute year actual_range short 1968, 2014
attribute year bcodmo_name String year
attribute year description String year in format yyyy
attribute year long_name String Year
attribute year nerc_identifier String https://vocab.nerc.ac.uk/collection/P01/current/YEARXXXX/ (external link)
attribute year units String unitless
variable pres2   String  
attribute pres2 bcodmo_name String unknown
attribute pres2 description String observed presence (TRUE) or absence (FALSE)
attribute pres2 long_name String Pres2
attribute pres2 units String unitless

The information in the table above is also available in other file formats (.csv, .htmlTable, .itx, .json, .jsonlCSV1, .jsonlCSV, .jsonlKVP, .mat, .nc, .nccsv, .tsv, .xhtml) via a RESTful web service.


 
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